The PGA Tour is preparing for another event this weekend when the PGA Tour’s top players will descend on Quail Hollow golf course for the the next major tournament of the year, the PGA Championship. It is time to talk about who might be victorious this weekend and claim victory.

With this being the second major of the calendar year, will we see a repeat winner with Xander Schauffele claiming victory again in 2025?

Who will claim victory at the PGA Championship in 2025? Can Xander repeat as champion?

When it comes to making predictions/picks for golf, there is a method to my madness. The first step in the process is to take a look at the course, and past winners. Let’s see what the PGA Championship has in store for fans this weekend:

The PGA Championship

Quail Hollow Golf Club, Par 71, 7,626 yards

Past Winners

2024: Xander Schauffele

2023: Brooks Koepka

2022: Justin Thomas

2021: Phil Mickelson

From this point, we have to take a look at who the odds-on favorites are to win the tournament. Here are the Top 5 favorites to win, and these odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook:

Top 5 Odds

• Scottie Scheffler (+425)
• Rory McIlroy (+500)
• Bryson DeChambeau (+950)
• Jon Rahm (+1800)
• Xander Schauffele (+2200
• Justin Thomas (+2200)

My Picks

Every time I produce picks, I break them down in the a variety of picks. You don’t have to make these plays, but this is where I’m leaning in this week’s contest. My favorite picks are players who are less than +2000 odds, with the long shot picks greater than +2000 odds. For this week’s event, here are my Favorite and Long Shot picks:

Favorite: Scottie Scheffler (+420)

Long Shot: Justin Thomas (+2200)

The next phase of my picks are players who are slated to finish within a certain area on the leaderboard. The Top 5, 10, 20 picks also include ties, so if a player finished T-20 and you had them as a Top 20 pick, you win. Here are my plays, and the odds, for this week’s signature event:

Top 5

Justin Thomas (+360)

Collin Morikawa (+360)

Top 10

Ludvig Aberg (+200)

Xander Schauffele (+180)

Top 20

Sepp Straka (+180)

Daniel Berger (+220)

BONUS PICKS

Betting on golf is multi-faceted, and you can increase your odds on winning outside of the outright winner bet with different types of bonus bets. This would include the Double and Triple bets, but also different bets which can still get you plus odds. There are other specials plays, but we’ll save those for the big tournaments on the schedule. Here are my bonus plays for this week:

Double: Scottie Scheffler or Xander Schauffele outright winner (+330)

Triple: Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas, Shane Lowry outright winner (+220)

Winning Margin: 1 shots (+230)

Top Past Champion: Xander Schauffele (+450)

Top “Lefty” (Left Handed Player): Akshay Bhatia (+310)

Jeff Hartman is the host of the Fairways & Dreams podcast, and a complete breakdown of the above picks can be heard in the podcast player below: